Ms. Nistha Srivastava will present her APS as per the details below:

Date: Friday, 27 February 2026

Time: 11:15 – 12:45 hrs.

Venue: Seminar room, IITB-Monash Research Academy

Meeting link: 

https://monash.zoom.us/j/87681122984?pwd=98n7qDl7R6xQNxbKrSeM01IyFqFiuH.1

Title: Analysing the Energy Transition Pathways in Transportation Sector in India using Bottom-up Modelling Approach

Guides: Prof. Anand B. Rao (IITB), Prof. Srinivas Sridharan (Monash) and Prof. Vinod Mishra (Monash)

RPC members: Prof. Sangram Nirmale (IITB) and Prof. Harmen Oppewal (Monash)

Abstract:
The transport sector has been a major contributor of CO2 emissions globally, with road transport dominating the segment. The emissions from the large stock of passenger vehicles in India has been a significant contributor to the deteriorating air quality. Two-wheelers accounts for the largest share of the registered vehicles in India, accounting for over 70% of on-road vehicles. Despite taking up such a large share of the passenger vehicle, electric vehicle makes up less than 7% of the registered 2-wheelers in the year 2025. Existing literature on electric vehicle adoption focuses on either electric vehicle as a homogeneous category or distinctly focuses upon 4-wheeler passenger cars. The sector largely overlooks the two-wheeler segment, consumers behavioural heterogeneity, regional ecosystem constraints, and emerging alternative fuel pathways such as CNG.

The proposed research aims to develop a bottom-up, behaviourally grounded modelling framework to analyse energy transition pathways for two-wheelers in India, focusing on electric and CNG-powered technologies. Using discrete choice modelling with latent class analysis, the study captures consumer heterogeneity and quantifies trade-offs among vehicle attributes under varying infrastructure, housing, and awareness conditions. The stated preference data would be complemented with actual ownership behaviour to identify gaps between perceived and actual adoption barriers.

The bottom-up modelling for the comparative assessment of electric and CNG two-wheelers will help generate policy-relevant insights for infrastructure planning, technology deployment, and a balanced clean energy transition in India’s transport sector. 

Keywords: Two-wheeler adoption, electric vehicles, CNG two-wheelers, behavioural model